Ok. So reading the threads. It appears that we can kind of narrow down some type of estimated time frame as to where SE is on the list.
The guy who signed up in 2006 still has not been offered anything. If he could say what month that would assist further. There clearly was a large number of people signing up sometime after that 2004 year.
The person who got their allocation for the 2012 vintage and signed up in 2004 shows that they are taking people off the list from after 2004. Most likely they are taking folks from late 2005 or early 2006.
This doesnāt mean that our wait time will be the same. I signed up in December 2008. If people donāt leave the list then the wait can theoretically extend for many many years. as time goes on and more people sign up, the wait will extend. So people who signed up recently will probably have to wait 30 years. I have been waiting almost 15 years. And we havenāt even reached the 2006 guy yet. At least I can get a sense that they are taking people from the 2005 or maybe 2006 list.
Anyone sign up in 2005 that has or has not gotten their notice. Please let us know.
More important question is, how many people drop from the list each year? It could well be a 100 year wait by now.
I just called SE. I may have acquired a little more info through his cryptic speak. He said that he hasnāt seen anyone taken off who signed up in 2005 lately and itās very possible that they are in the 2006 list of people. But he canāt confirm anything. But he also added that they did get a large influx of people through that time frame and that will extend the wait for people like me compared to the people that signed up earlier than 2004.
Remember that guy who signed up in 2004 got to buy the 2012 vintage. He only had to wait 8 years.
I have asked that before. It is usually only people who pass away. And even then some donāt drop because their family keeps the allocations active.
Perhaps one should not assume that wait times on any list, especially SE, are linear or based on signup dateā¦
Signed up 10/3/2006
First offer 2009 Vintage on 2/6/2012
First offer sauv blanc 9/26/2022
I signed up for the list in August 2015. My login stopped working so I called them and they reset it for me the other day. TIFWIW ā the guy, who was very nice and helpful, told me that based on their current attrition rates, I could expect a wait of 20 to 30 years. Now we wait and see if Screagle or MacDonald hits first for my progeny.
ā09, no dice for me
Another data point. Signed up February 2007. Just spoke to them a few months back and they confirmed that I was still on the list.
Reading this I nearly laughed my aā¦ off.
And yes, your move was not a highly anticipating one.
I got a nice email from them in answer to my query as to whether they still had me on the list. They confirmed my Nov 15, 2010 signup date and confirmed that itād likely be āmany more yearsā before Iād receive an allocation.
Allocations for the 2020 just droppedā¦
email mentioned lower quantity - anyone know how much they make? how down they are in 2020?
i asked but not surprisingly they would not confirm amount of drop
Thanks for trying.
I love logging in every year and seeing no offer.
If thatās the case thereās lots of other hobbies you could take up that give you the same experience more than once a year.
- Placing hot coals all over your body
- Slamming your hand in the car door repeatedly
- Kicking rocks with your bare feet
This thread always strikes me as funny. Im sure there are exceptions but nearly everyone so anxious to get on is anxious to post pictures flexing on social media about being on the list and then flipping it for a profit. Are any of you actually going to drink your allocation?
I offered elsewhere that if anyone sells me one for retail or close to it, Iāll blind it with a de Negoce and post results here 
That will never happen after years of waiting for maxprofitz