Taking your argument to the extreme, the best way to save maximum lives is to ban all driving. We could continue from there to ban many foods (Bloomberg is a real thought-leader here), most sports and (ironically) lethargic lifestyles. I know, I know…for all the grammar police out there, I understand that’s not probably the perfect way to use a derivative of “ironic”, but you get my point.
So back to the issue at hand. If the NTSB were equally diligent re: all forms of high risk driving, I think the argument would be more genuine and consistent, and one that I could possibly agree with. They are not. Hence my problem with it. Example - the NTSB has not suggested a general federal mandate on texting while driving, has not threatened to take away federal funding for those states that don’t comply, etc. Why not? They rely on “studies” to determine level of danger do they not? There are a number of studies out there re: the dangers of “text driving”, and I dare say those studies suggest a level of danger that equals or exceeds those of driving at .05 BAC. So…if the matter is “safe highways, safe roads, safe driving” why doesn’t the NTSB address each of these issues in rank order of safety importance?
As in - “we’re going to take on the #1 most dangerous issue first, the #2 most dangerous issue second…” and so forth. Here, the choice of metric for assigning #1, #2, etc is probably important. Number of deaths per category of driver? Probably not. Sober drivers in aggregate have more deadly accidents than drunk ones. And we’re probably not going to ban sober drivers just to save maximum lives. So…maybe something like deaths by driver category per 10,000 miles driven. In which case we should immediately look at banning all motorcycles, whether or not the driver is sober.
And out of curiosity, I start to look for other ways to save lives. From 2005-09, we have had an average of 3500 non-boating drownings per year. My knee jerk reaction, given the numbers involved, would be to ban all swimming. Accidental home poisonings result in 5000 deaths per year. We should likely ban any poisonous material from retail sale. Teen drivers? 2700 deaths. Ban them I guess.
But somehow those sound ridiculous, don’t they? And let’s take that last one - teen drivers. Fun with numbers time, and as mentioned above, the choice of metrics is important. How many teen drivers do you suppose there are in the US? How many folks who drive at .05-.08? Per the above, the real metric might be denominated by “driver miles” for each category. But my point is twofold. First, there is no discussion by the NTSB of accident RATE or death RATE by driver category. At some level, ANY person on the road has a chance of being in an accident that kills them. No study I have seen has suggested that the fatality rate related to accidents involving .05-.08 is demonstrably higher than any other “risky category”. Yet it is the only category being picked on. And the reason is obvious. Alcohol is “really, really bad”. Texting - just kind of bad. Old folks driving that shouldn’t be - c’mon…bad? Are you kidding me? No, we just feel sorry for them.
I just think it is way too easy to say “wow…we could save 3000 lives if we got rid of this BAD thing”, where “BAD” is in the eye of the beholder. I hate snowmobiles. On a deaths / mile driven basis, snowmobiles are right up there. But as much as I don’t like them, I am not so disingenous to suggest that they should be banned to save a proportionately significant number of lives.
It’s a standard fun with numbers, or more specifically, “fun with LARGE numbers” strategy. And that’s the basis for my reaction. Not trying to pick on you. Agree with your general concerns. Simply suggesting that the issue may not be as simplistic as you suggest above.
Cheers,
JVP