Doug,
I don’t mind a debate at all, I’m with you.
I am not saying ‘absence of proof is not proof of absence,’ I am saying ‘the only evidence I am concerned with is that provided me by my tasting experience.’ There is no contrary evidence that I am aware of.
‘Relying on tasters’ memory’ is what a wine merchant does. You don’t have to believe in it, but it’s much of what we do, not to mention that it’s what wine judges and journalist do, and indeed any fine wine drinker that drinks a wine and says ‘I like this more than the similar bottle I had last week, but less than the third one I had 6 months ago.’ Sometimes we can assemble groups of similar wines and taste them blind, but this is often not possible; most of our judgements don’t have ‘controls,’ or a scientific basis. You appear to be suggesting that any opinion formed outside of a blind comparison of like wines is invalid, which makes no sense.
Most of the differences that matter between fine wines are not capable of scientific analysis, other than eg defects. We send a lot of wine to ETS for analysis for defects, but there is no meaningful way of scientifically analyzing the differences between eg a producer’s Bourgogne Blanc and their Bâtard. It’s all down to the Mk. 1 Palate.
The only practical aspect of any of this is
a) for us, we don’t sell shocky wine, because we think it’s a waste of time and not in the interests of our producers or our customers, and
b) passionate wine drinkers, might want to wait a month or two before drinking a fine bottle if you know it’s been shipped recently, since most importers don’t wait to sell the wines. Don’t risk wasting your money, in other words.
On the other uncertainties (soil drainage is as I mentioned not controversial), if you take the Oxford Companion as a reasonable source of mainstream scientific thought, you find for example: ‘The relationship between soil chemistry and wine quality and individuality is in the main poorly understood.’ My tasting experience leads me to think that the soil makes a difference beyond just drainage, but there is no hard scientific basis for this that I am aware of. Soil pH is one of the fascinating differences between the Nebbiolos grown in the Langa and the Alto Piemonte appellations, but AFAIK it’s not ‘fairly well established,’ and the Oxford concurs.
Anyone who has tasted a wide range of wines from the south of Italy and who is naturally curious will wonder about the relationship between the striking soils of eg Etna and Vesuvius (or the Canary Islands) and the particular character of the wines grown in those soils. That we don’t know of any scientific way those flavors can express themselves in the wines does not cause me to doubt my tasting experience.