I'd agree this suggestion, and the variety is but one factor amongst many.R. Frankel wrote: ↑December 3rd, 2018, 5:38 pmThis is a complex question because wine aging goodness is highly dependent on your subjective tastes/preferences. For example I’m drinking a 1996 Chablis tonight that I’m loving but many Chardonnay drinkers would not enjoy. Most premium European wine can age for decades if stored well.
Read my response above. My best advice is to buy older bottles and start drinking them.
Most critics cheat, and I rather applaud them for doing so. They don't taste a wine and think immediately it will be at peak between 2028 and 2033, or if they do then they're almost certainly bluffing. Instead they look at how prior vintages under that label matured and what the typical range was. Let's says that's on average 14-20 years from vintage. They'll then consider whether it's a sturdier 'vin de garde' style, or a more approachable but lacking depth etc. The former might have them move the range up to 20-30, the latter down to 8-12. Very much a Bayesian approach if you've ever studied statistics.
So you could do the same by looking at a wine you are interested in, using Cellartracker. See what the comments were for prior vintages, how people describe them at 5, 10, 15, 20+ years old. Get a feel for the change in flavour profile. It's not 'accurate', nothing is in our hobby (except for the grammar corrections ), but I'd say this is at least as good as any critic for giving you a feel for what you're investing the cellar time in, and where the sweet spot sounds like. Then find out a little about the vintage and read the tasting notes already logged for that vintage. Are people suggesting it's a long ager, or one for drinking younger? Let that guide the drinking window you pencil in. I say pencil in, because wine can surprise either way, so don't feel overly bound by that drinking window, and use the 'recent notes by others on your wines' feature to keep tabs with what people are experiencing. Sometimes a couple of really positive notes are enough to inspire the opening of a bottle.
p.s. someone here did have a go at exactly the question you asked recently. I'm not sure how much traction the thread got, as the early responses IIRC were similar to what Rich said (and I agree with). Worth a look for it.