Hi Tim,
I am very excited to hear about the product you are developing and looking forward to the day when it comes on the market. But, I did want to see if you could clarify a few of your points in the above quote. First, which studies are you referring to that “have shown that a large fraction of corks can let in the 5ppm (oxygen ingress) we worry about in under a year.” What is your “large fraction” and what corks in question are you referring to, given that there are several grades of natural corks, as well as techincal corks and synthetic corks. Can you be a bit more specific about your data and sources please? Broad brush strokes in a field as precise as this are a disservice to everyone.
To my knowledge, the definitive scientific study on this was conducted at the University of Bordeaux and published in 2006 by Dr. Paulo Lopes et. al. and is considered the gold standard of clinical research to date on oxygen ingress of various closures, as it did not have to rely on the MOCON technology (that only accurately measures oxygen permeability of DRY CORKS- which is obviously irrelevant to any discussion of the material as a wine closure, since last I checked wine was still a liquid). I am sure you are familiar with Dr. Lopes’ study. In that study he looked at a variety of different closures- SC, natural cork of two top grades, technical corks such as “Twin Top” and “Neutrocork” and synthetic corks. Nowhere in his study is your findings of 5 PPM of oxygen ingress for natural corks to be found- though of course he was using the top two grades of natural cork in his clinical trials. Over the course of the 36 month trial for closures tested in horizontal position, the two grades showed oxygen ingress of 1.7 PPM for the top grade and 2.3 PPM for the second grade of natural cork- over 36 months mind you, not the 12 months you cited above (from which studies?), so I am curious what data you are relying on for this assertion.
Additionally, as I am sure you are quite familiar, given the product that you are developing for SCs, the study reports that the oxygen ingress of natural corks occurs in a completely non-linear fashion, with anywhere from 28-53% of total ingress over the 36 month period taking place in the first month after insertion (with much of this swing in percentages attributed by the authors of the study to the lower density- hence higher retained oxygen- of the cork membrane of the lower grade corks), and that subsequently the rate of oxygen ingress for natural corks is quite modest and consistent over the remaining range of the 36 month study. To my mind it is not an accurate representation of the research to characterize this oxygen ingress trait of natural corks as being "the MOST variable in the first few months of life, during what is called the “recovery phase”- as the research does not indicate variability (by which I am assuming you’re implying unreliability), but rather a strictly non-linear oxygen ingress curve.
If you wanted to state that natural corks allow the most oxygen ingress during the first month after they are inserted, this seems to me to be supported by this clinical trial, but again, the University of Bordeaux research does not anywhere approach your number of 5 PPM over the first twelve months. Are you sure that the studies you are relying on did not include synthetic corks in this data group- as this higher oxygen ingress figure would seem quite possible based on the data collected on these closures during the Lopes trials. Additionally, every other type of closure tested, including SCs, also allowed the most oxygen ingress during this first month after sealing, so again, this seems to be as much a function of the actual mechanics of the sealing of the bottles as it is the kinetics of oxygen ingress and natural corks. Again, a little precision about which studies you are referring to and what data you are relying on here would be most beneficial to my understanding your position.
Secondly, you state that “wines that improve with 20 years of age… are pretty tough to drink upon release. And they are more tolerant of the early oxygen.” On what data or experience do you base this comment? If you are referring to red wines with a high tannin content, then I can understand your assertion that they are more tolerant of early oxygen, as tannins are of course, a primary anti-oxidant in red wines. But many age-worthy wines that are crafted to last and improve well beyond 20 years are not dependent on tannic structure at all, and in fact many are not even red wines. There are a great many of the world’s longest-lived wines that age on their acidity, not their tannins, and therefore are indeed not “more tolerant of early oxygen.” German Rieslings or Loire Valley Chenin Blanc-based wines are both extremely long-lived (50+ years is no great stretch for many of thes wines- in the case of a great Vouvray estate like Domaine Huet, 100 years is the more likely aging capacity), and pinot noir-based wines with long track records for aging often do so based on their acid structures as well, rather than their tannins. None of these wines would I characterize as tolerant of early oxygen exposure. Again, I would be very curious to look at your data on this point, as it has not been my experience with these long-lived wines, and I have had a little history with some of these types of wines at quite advanced ages.
Finally, you close by stating that “the point is that corks fail both ways, and every wine consumer, regardless of price point, deserves better than a 5% defect rate.” Rather a broad brush stroke again. What cork failures are you citing here- the 5 PPM oxygen ingress states above over the first 12 months (cited in which study?) that is not supported by the definitive clinical trial at the University of Bordeaux and cited above. The inferred unreliability of corks because they allow oxygen ingress through a non-linear mechanism? I simply have no idea from what you have written what are the “both ways” that cork fails in your criteria, as I simply cannot make sense of this statement. And of course, it would be nice to see what data you are relying on for your broad brush stroke that consumers “deserve better than a 5% defect rate”- presumably from failing corks. Which studies are you citing here?
Now closure science, reduction issues and oxygen ingress variability are your business and I am sure that you are far more up to speed on the current technical research in this field than me, for I am a wine journalist and my business is evaluating wines and attempting to understand their historical and cultural values. In fact, I really hate to take time out of my schedule to plow through these scientific papers, as I would much rather be working on my historical piece on the important Barolo producer of Francesco Rinaldi and getting ready to taste the estate’s 1967 and 1958 Baroli. And, of course, I do not know how much wine you taste and I do not know what your personal experience is with older wines (20-50 years of age for instance), but that is my business and I worry from your comments above that you are speaking about this genre without sufficient experience to understand what is really at stake with closures that fail over the long-term.
Now no one in their right mind would try and argue that natural cork’s track record ten or fifteen years ago was exemplary, and I recently had a totally TCA-ruined bottle of 1899 Lafite, so I am very painfully aware of the problems presented by TCA contamination in corks in the past. But, on the other hand, the magical ability for many wines to age long and gracefully is only a relatively recent historical event that depended on the arrival of both adequate bottle technology and natural corks as a stopper to make long-term aging of certain wines a reality, and one has to make sure that any wholesale change in this aspect of the world of wine is based on sound science and real need. For what hangs in the balance is not the $15 bottle of white wine pulled out of your grocer’s cooler and poured at the table an hour later, but the ability of great wines to continue to age long and gracefully under their closures. So the relevant point here is what closure will both protect a wine’s long-term ability to evolve positively in the bottle and which closure will have a lower failure rate in doing so.
As Paul White so eloquently pointed out, the cork performance of ten years ago is not the cork performance of today (particularly from the industry leaders), and one needs to address this reality, rather than pretending it does not exist, if one is going to try and make a viable case for an alternative and be taken seriously. You do need to somehow understand what the real issues are here and address them with solid science and sufficient evidence to support your claims- not just spout out cocktail party shibboleths as if they were considered statements based on a sound understanding of the revelant scientific data on the topic. From your statements above, I do not see a whole lot of evidence for your positions and would welcome looking at your data. The product that you are in the midst of developing, if successfully implemented, could be a tremendous boon to wine drinkers currently stuck with SC technology as we know it today- which all relevant, accepted, contemporary studies admit has a higher failure rate than today’s corks. That your liners may alleviate one of the major problems of SC and lower the failure rate is a very worthy endeavor and you deserve all of the well wishes that can be mustered that you quickly master the technology and are able to market the liners. But please do not go down the same path with your firm as has been heavily trodden by others in the SC business, by reciting old, discredited data from methodologically and conceptually flawed studies, or even worse, make broad statements that are not even based on this shoddy science of yesteryear. Your product deserves better, and so do the wine drinkers out there- even if they are completely disinterested in the issue because they will most likely not be around thirty years from now to see if the closure technology worked or if their palates are not sufficiently developed to spot a flawed wine when they cross paths with one.
I look forward to reviewing your data.
John